Once the domain of
superpowers only, outer space activities now include an expanding set
of nations whose numbers continue to grow. Although only 13 of
approximately 70 governmental space agencies across the world have
actual launch capabilities, many of the other nations are already
participating in a wide array of space-related activities, For
example:
- Many nations are now
operating satellites in outer space performing a wide range of tasks.
- Over the years, an
increasing number of nations have been sending astronauts to the
International Space Station (ISS).
- With its Mars
Orbiter Mission in 2014, India’s
Space Research
Organization
(ISRO) enabled India to be the first nation to put a space probe
in a Martian orbit on its first attempt.
- In 2014, the
European
Space Agency (ESA) probe Rosetta reached the Comet
Churyumov-Gerasimenko and landed on its surface - the first such
achievement in human history
- In 2015, the US
sponsored Dawn, the first NASA
spacecraft to explore the dwarf planets Vesta and Ceres, and provided
the world with its first ever fly-by of Pluto and its moons.
- Japan is planning a
mission to land-and-return to the asteroid Ryugu.
- The China
National
Space Administration is undertaking plans for a permanent manned
presence in space similar to the International Space Station, and
entrepreneurs plan for manned flights to Mars.
| The European Galileo
Global
Navigation Satellite
System
(GNSS) is expected to reach full operational capability by
2020, significantly advancing global positioning capabilities -
operating with greater precision, more global coverage, and at
higher latitudes. Galileo will join the US GPS, Russia’s
GLONASS, China’s BeiDou, and several other regional satellite
systems being put in place by countries like India and Japan. |
Private Sector
Activities
As many governments
struggle to fund their national Space Agencies programs, the private
sector is now stepping up to fill the void and starting to pursue
serious programs such as space tourism, asteroid mining, building
next generation space craft, and developing space habitats for
planned colonies on the moon and the planet Mars. Some of the major
players include SpaceX, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Virgin Galactic,
Blue Origin, China Aerospace, Bigelow Aerospace, Planetary Resource,
and other major spaceflight
companies. However, full realization of return-on-investment by
these companies are still decades away.
Think of numerous
orbiting space stations, private sector manufacturing facilities in
space, Interplanetary travel and supply networks, massive space-based
solar energy arrays, and the initial colonization of Mars – that’s
all becoming a reality.
Major Challenges
As the race for
space accelerates, a number of major issues and challenges are
emerging. For example:
-
Space-faring
nations—in particular the European Union (EU),
China, Russia, India, Japan, and the US—need
to further refine the existing Outer
Space Treaty and agree on a code of conduct and a more detailed
set of rules governing outer space activities.
-
Space
debris has become an
immediate issue that
must be addressed.
More than 500,000 pieces of space debris are currently tracked as
they orbit the Earth, some traveling as fast as 17,500 mph. Many
millions of other pieces of space debris are too small to be tracked
but could be hazardous to critical satellites or other spacecraft.
International action is necessary to identify and fund the removal
of debris most threatening to an expanding global space presence.
With more states and
commercial firms stepping up their activities in outer space,
existing international agreements and approaches need to be
continuously revised and updated to avoid major challenges and
potential conflicts down the road.
Militarizing
Outer Space
Future
conflicts and wars will be fought in multiple domains beyond
traditional air, land, sea, and undersea domains. New battlefields
will include computer networks, the electromagnetic spectrum, social
media, the environment— and Outer Space.
In particular, the
immense strategic and commercial value offered by outer space ensures
that it will increasingly be an arena in which nations vie for
access, use, and control of extraterrestrial
assets and resources. At this stage, the militarization of outer
space by aggressive nations and other entities may be inevitable.
Consider
the following examples of planned activities and technologies by
various nations related to the potential militarization of outer
space. They include:
Space-based
Technologies
Heightened
commercial interest in outer space and development of space-enabled
technologies and services will improve efficiency and create new
industrial applications with both civil and military purposes. For
example:
-
Low-altitude
satellites will bring internet access to the two-thirds of the
world’s population that do not currently have online connectivity
to information, knowledge, and services many of us are now starting
to take for granted.
-
Satellite
systems—smaller, smarter, and cheaper than in the past, e.g.
CubeSat—will
be bringing new capabilities in remote sensing, communications,
environmental monitoring, and global positioning services that will
benefit everyone on Earth.
-
| Health
4.0 by 2050: By 2040, a space-based global
artificial intelligence (AI) system
and network of satellites will be put
in place that will monitor and help provide healthcare to people
on Earth and in colonies across our solar system on the Moon,
Mars, and other locations. The system will be linked to massive
global health data warehouses storing data from a wide range of
health IT systems, e.g. Electronic Health Record (EHR) systems,
Personal Health Records (PHR), Health Information Exchange (HIE)
networks, wearable fitness trackers, implantable medical devices,
clinical imaging systems, genomic databases and biorepositories,
surgical robots, health research knowledge-bases and much
more. |
Transition to
Type 1 Civilization
The bottom line is
that the Earth is in the process of completing the transition from a
Type 0 to a Type 1 Civilization. Billions of people caught up
in the massive changes taking place around the world, have never
heard about this and don’t yet comprehend what is happening. Outer
Space and Space-based Technologies play a key role in this
transition.
A
Type 0 Civilization extracts its energy, information,
raw-materials from crude organic-based sources (e.g. wood/fossil
fuel); information is communicated by books, newspapers, oral
tradition; natural and man-made disasters coupled with societal
conflicts create extreme risk of extinction; it's capable of
orbital spaceflight; limited medical and technological
advancement; failure to improve social and environmental
conditions often lead to their own extinction.
A
Type
I Civilization
extracts its energy and raw-materials from fusion power, hydrogen,
solar, and other renewable resources; able to utilize and store
energy available from its neighboring star, i.e. the sun; capable
of inter-planetary
spaceflight, colonization, and communication within its solar
system; mega-scale global engineering and trade; regional and
world governments; digital access to all known information and
knowledge; achieves medical and technological
singularity; still vulnerable to possible extinction.
|
Finally,
as spaceflight technologies
take a
major leap forward allowing for Inter-Planetary travel, millions
of humans will make up the first wave of immigrants populating
permanent colonies on other planets and moons in our Solar System.
Large scale geoengineering construction in support of these steadily
growing colonies will begin.
Public and private sector organizations will aggressively moving
forward to further explore and exploit resources on nearby planets,
moons, and asteroids in outer-space well into the 22nd
century when we will start the
transition to a barely imaginable Type
2 Civilization, when plans
for the first unmanned journeys
to
potentially habitable planets in the nearest solar systems of
our
Galaxy will be executed.
What
an amazing journey lies ahead for future generations!
Selected
Links
-
-
-
-
-
- Outer
Space Treaty - Treaty
on Principles Governing the Activities of States in the
Exploration and
Use of Outer Space
|
